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Industry Report:

People are getting out and about…

Team 2nd NOVEMBER 2021

  • Mobility is below pre-covid rates but there is an indication of confidence in people visiting parks, museums, libraries, going back to their workplace, utilizing public transport and so on.

  • Since Clark County’s transmission rates have now fallen below the critical level and is at a 6.7% 14-day moving average, indoor events are now authorised with 4000 or more vaccinated attendees.

  • Our observational research on a non-experimental situation using camera live-streams shows us a moderate but increasing movement in public places until around 11pm.

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Figure 1: Clark County Community Movement: Percentage change compared to Baseline

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  1. Residential - Mobility trends for places of residence measured in durations
  2. Grocery & pharmacy - grocery markets, food warehouses, farmers markets, specialty food shops, drug stores, and pharmacies
  3. Retail & recreation - (restaurants, cafes, shopping centers, theme parks, museums, libraries, and movie theaters)
  4. Parks - national parks, public beaches, marinas, dog parks, plazas, and public gardens
  5. Transit stations - public transport hubs such as subway, bus, and train stations
  6. Workplaces - Mobility trends for places of work

Figure 1 illustrates mobility patterns with community movements in Clark County, Nevada. The Covid- 19 Community Mobility Reports gather data from Google users’ location history, from those who have their location history turned on, to record daily changes in mobility in six different areas. These movements compare the mobility as percentages in comparison to the baseline. The baseline is an estimation of the median value for the corresponding day of the week over the 5 week period: 3rd January to 6th February 2020.

The process of mining human mobility data is:

(i) Residential data looks into the daily percentage change in the duration spent at places of residence.

(ii)The other five categories collect daily percentage changes in total visitors whose device location is within the bounds of grocery & pharmacy, retail & recreation, parks, transit stations and workplaces.

The method for clustering device GPS locations estimates the percentage duration relative to the rest of the locations for the day; i.e. differentiate a person strolling and idling in front of a pharmacy for a minute. Given the two methods applied to (i) and (ii), we cannot compare ‘residential’ data with the other five categories. Furthermore, the data is not comprehensive because workplaces that do not permit mobile phones or small businesses/home-businesses, unregistered with google, are excluded in the data.

As of last month, excluding residential, parks, and grocery & pharmacy locales that have already surpassed the baseline, Figure 1 shows all remaining locales recording an increase in movements.

Point A: The sudden spread of the Covid-19 virus and Governor Steve Sisolak issuing a Declaration of Emergency in the State of Nevada on March 12th explains the drop in movements in all areas except grocery and pharmacy. This could have been because the population of Clark County anticipated a lockdown and was stocking up with essential items.

It is evident that the Clark County community has been following policies and mandates enforced on them to mitigate risks. As seen in Figure 1, places like parks (which include most public areas) show increasing visits in October despite the concern of the Covid-19 Delta variant that emerged in July 2021 (Figure 1, Point B).

Point C: As the percentage of the inoculated population increases, we also witness an increase in mobility. This could be because people are more comfortable in getting out and about, knowing that they have been fully inoculated.

An observational research on a non-experimental situation was conducted through The Live stream of the Vegas Strip. By applying this method of research, it was found that there are moderate yet increasing levels of movement in the area that continue throughout the day till around 11pm. A reason for a rise in the number of people found outdoors (since March 2020) could possibly be due to the increase in the vaccinated population.

View LIVE Stream

Though the risk for unvaccinated people in Vegas is extremely high, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), those fully vaccinated with the Pfizer, Moderna, or Johnson & Johnson’s Janssen vaccines,

  • Are allowed to resume regular activities
  • Do not need to get tested before or after travel (unless required by destination)
  • Do not need to self-quarantine after travel

From August 2021, the State of Nevada has been successfully following their Road Map to Recovery and Clark County’s transmission rates have now fallen below the critical area and is currently at a 6.7% 14-day moving average. Indoor events have now been authorised with 4000 or more attendees, given that they all provide proof of vaccination. According to the latest Health Response for Nevada, following CDC Guidelines, all individuals (including fully vaccinated ones) must wear masks indoors and in crowded outdoor environments.

As per our research and analysis, Vegas has been adjusting to the “new normal” quite well. And for those of you who decide to travel to Las Vegas, though at your own risk, given that you are fully vaccinated and abiding by the State of Nevada’s policies, you will be able to have a memorable and enjoyable journey in this rejuvenating economy.


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